LM
Loop Media, Inc. (LPTV)·Q3 2024 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Revenue declined to $4.35M in Q3 2024 from $5.73M YoY as ad demand partner algorithm changes reduced fill rates; gross margin improved sequentially to 20.9% from 10.4% in Q2 but remained below 31.8% YoY .
- Adjusted EBITDA loss narrowed to $(2.25)M from $(4.55)M in Q2 and $(3.68)M YoY; SG&A fell to $4.12M as cost-cutting drove a $1.6M sequential reduction and management targets maintaining SG&A under ~$4M per quarter .
- Distribution was mixed: O&O QAUs fell to 30,486 (−7% q/q; −13% y/y), while Partner Screens rose to ~51,000 (+2% q/q; +38% y/y), totaling ~81,000 active players/screens; management is pivoting to targeted geographies and launching a live channels subscription (NFL RedZone/NFL Network) to support revenue growth .
- No explicit revenue/EPS guidance was issued; operating focus is on cost structure, content license renegotiations, and SG&A discipline; Wall Street consensus via S&P Global was unavailable for this quarter due to platform limits, so beats/misses vs estimates cannot be determined (Values retrieved from S&P Global)*.
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- SG&A expense reduced to $4.12M (−28% q/q; −35% y/y) through headcount cuts, vendor renegotiations, and marketing reductions; management aims to keep SG&A near $4M per quarter into FY2025 .
- Adjusted EBITDA loss improved to $(2.25)M from $(4.55)M in Q2 and $(3.68)M YoY, lowering the revenue threshold for breakeven; “we have reduced our cash burn from operations significantly” .
- Strategic content expansion: immediate ability to offer 40 live channels under subscription for venues (including NFL RedZone & NFL Network), positioned as a near-term revenue catalyst into the sports season .
What Went Wrong
- Revenue fell to $4.35M (−23–24% YoY), primarily due to a major ad demand participant changing algorithms and terms, reducing ad call frequency/fill rates; management does not expect prior absolute revenue levels without a significantly larger footprint .
- Gross margin compressed YoY to 20.9% from 31.8% as fixed/content license fees became larger as a percentage of lower revenue; certain licenses are on non-revenue metrics, further pressuring COGS .
- O&O QAUs declined to 30,486 (−7% q/q; −13% y/y) as natural attrition and targeted distribution reduced placements; total active players/screens fell to ~81,000 from ~83,000 in Q2 .
Financial Results
Income Statement and Profitability (Quarterly)
Year-over-Year Comparison (Q3 2024 vs Q3 2023)
KPIs and Distribution
Guidance Changes
No numeric revenue/EPS guidance was issued for Q3 2024 .
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “We will continue to streamline our operations and create further cost efficiencies… including a two-tier music video service and a non-music subscription offering that includes live channels ranging from live sports events (including The NFL Redzone and The NFL Network)… to support growth opportunities” — Justis Kao, CEO .
- “Our revenue… was $4.4 million, a decrease… driven by a major ad demand participant changing their terms… we do not expect to experience the same level of absolute revenue… unless and until we significantly increase our distribution footprint” — Neil Watanabe, CFO .
- “We have reduced our cash burn from operations significantly and reduce the level of revenue that is required to become flat or breakeven” — Neil Watanabe .
- “It’s the perfect time to launch this subscription opportunity for venues… With the NFL season about to start…” — Justis Kao .
Q&A Highlights
- Q3 2024 call transcript comprised prepared remarks without a captured Q&A session; no additional guidance clarifications recorded .
- In prior quarter context: Q1 Q&A addressed player attrition (minimal revenue impact from removed players), political ad pacing (second-half lift), partner margin mix, and local ad product beta timing .
Estimates Context
- Wall Street consensus estimates for Q3 2024 (Revenue/EPS/EBITDA) via S&P Global were unavailable due to platform limits at the time of request; therefore, we cannot assess beats/misses vs consensus for this quarter (Values retrieved from S&P Global)*.
- Given management commentary that ad demand frequency is structurally lower under new algorithms unless footprint expands, future consensus may need to reflect lower ad-fill assumptions until distribution accelerates .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Sequential operating improvement: SG&A down to $4.1M and Adjusted EBITDA loss narrowed to $(2.25)M, reducing breakeven revenue threshold; cost actions appear durable into FY2025 .
- Ad-tech algorithm shock remains the central headwind; revenue stabilization likely requires footprint expansion and demand partner re-education toward CTV budgets (higher CPM/fill) .
- Distribution mix pivot: O&O QAUs declined, but Partner Screens grew to ~51k; targeted market strategy favors density and higher-value venues—expect slower near-term unit growth but potential for improved monetization .
- Product catalyst: live channels subscription (NFL RedZone/NFL Network) enhances value proposition for venues ahead of sports season; watch for subscription uptake and ARPU impacts .
- Liquidity tight with cash at $1.5M and net debt $6.2M; continued cash burn reduction is critical—monitor vendor savings (~$750k annual) and license renegotiations for margin relief .
- No numeric revenue/EPS guidance; focus your model on operating leverage and margin trajectory rather than top-line acceleration until distribution trend inflects .
- Given absence of consensus data this quarter, near-term trading likely hinges on operational milestones (subscription uptake, QAU stabilization, margin improvements) and disclosures around delisting proceedings in August (outside earnings scope but market-relevant) .
Non-GAAP Adjustments Note
Adjusted EBITDA excludes interest, taxes, depreciation/amortization, stock-based compensation, non-recurring expenses, restructuring costs, loss on extinguishment of debt, employee retention credits, and other income; use alongside GAAP metrics for a complete view .